<?xml version="1.1" encoding="utf-8"?>
<article xsi:noNamespaceSchemaLocation="http://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.1/xsd/JATS-journalpublishing1-mathml3.xsd" dtd-version="1.1" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ASDS</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Applied Statistics and Data Science</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn>3066-8433</issn><eissn>3066-8441</eissn><publisher><publisher-name>Art and Technology</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.61369/ASDS.2026080011</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title>中国绿色金融市场风险溢出的时频特征
—— 基于多矩连通性网络</title><url>https://artdesignp.com/journal/ASDS/2/8/10.61369/ASDS.2026080011</url><author>何欣</author><pub-date pub-type="publication-year"><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>2</volume><issue>8</issue><history><date date-type="pub"><published-time>2026-08-20</published-time></date></history><abstract>本文基于2017年7月3日至2026年3月18日中国绿色债券与绿色股票市场9个代表性指数的日度数据，采用ACDNIG模型提取条件波动率、偏度和峰度，在TVP-VAR 框架下构建收益率、波动率、偏度和峰度四层连通性网络，并结合多矩投影与频域分解考察风险传导的结构、动态和期限差异。结果表明：（1）收益率、波动率、偏度和峰度层的静态总连通性指数依次为70.67%、67.35%、62.38% 和55.58%，综合投影层为64.61%。总体连通性随风险矩阶提高而下降，但偏度和峰度层在重大事件附近呈现更集中的跃升。（2）各风险层均表现出明显的资产类别集聚，绿色债券和绿色股票内部连通性明显高于两类市场之间的交叉连通性。（3）风险节点具有维度差异和时变性。国证ESG300指数在收益率、波动率、偏度及综合投影层中是较稳定的净风险输出方，上证绿色公司债指数总体为净风险接收方；峰度层的主要输出节点转向沪深300ESG 债券指数。（4）收益率溢出以短期成分为主，波动率、偏度、峰度及综合风险主要由长期成分驱动。研究表明，中国绿色金融风险监测应同时识别风险维度、资产类别、关键节点和传导期限。</abstract><keywords>绿色金融,高阶矩风险,多矩连通性网络,TVP-VAR,频域连通性</keywords></article-meta></front><body/><back><ref-list><ref id="B1" content-type="article"><label>1</label><element-citation publication-type="journal"><p>[1]Pham L. Frequency connectedness and cross-quantile dependence between green bond and green equity markets[J]. Energy Economics, 2021, 98: 105257.[2]Liu R, He L, Xia Y, et al. Research on the time-varying effects among green finance markets in China: A fresh evidence from multi-frequency scale perspective[J]. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2023, 66: 101914.[3]Lu X, Huang N, Mo J, et al. Dynamics of the return and volatility connectedness among green finance markets during the COVID-19 pandemic[J]. Energy Economics, 2023, 125: 106860.[4]Chatziantoniou I, Abakah E J A, Gabauer D, et al. Quantile time&amp;ndash;frequency price connectedness between green bond, green equity, sustainable investments and cleanenergy markets[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2022, 361: 132088.[5]Wang Y, Zhao X, Shang J. Dynamic risk spillover in green financial markets: A wavelet frequency analysis from China[J]. Energy Economics, 2025, 143: 108301.[6]Zheng T, Zhang H, Ye S. Monetary policies on green financial markets: Evidence from a multi-moment connectedness network[J]. Energy Economics, 2024, 136: 107739.[7]Ringstad I E F, Tselika K. Connectedness between green bonds, clean energy markets and carbon quota prices: Time and frequency dynamics[J]. Journal of Commodity Markets, 2024, 36: 100442.[8] 王喜平, 刘蔓蔓. 碳- 能源- 绿色金融市场间的风险溢出效应研究[J]. 分布式能源, 2025, 10 (4): 24-34.[9]Zhang W, He X, Hamori S. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine war on multiscale spillovers in green finance markets: Evidence from lower and higher order moments[J]. International Review of Financial Analysis, 2023, 89: 102735.[10]Wang Y, Cheung A W K, Yan W L, et al. Connectedness of China&amp;rsquo;s green bond and green stock markets at the low-and high-order moments: The role of economic and climate policy uncertainty[J]. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2025, 78: 102410.[11]Hao W, Pham L. Dynamic connectedness in the higher moments between clean energy and oil prices[J]. Energy Economics, 2024, 140: 107987.[12]Zhou Y, Wu S, Liu Z, et al. The asymmetric effects of climate risk on higher-moment connectedness among carbon, energy and metals markets[J]. Nature Communications, 2023, 14: 7157.[13]Hau L, Yang X, Zhang Y. Multiscale quantile dependence between China&amp;rsquo;s green bond and green equity: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective[J]. International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024, 95: 103485.[14]Hansen B E. Autoregressive conditional density estimation[J]. International Economic Review, 1994, 35(3): 705-730.[15]Barndorff ‐Nielsen O E. Normal inverse Gaussian distributions and stochastic volatility modelling[J]. Scandinavian Journal of statistics, 1997, 24(1): 1-13.[16]Antonakakis N, Chatziantoniou I, Gabauer D. Refined measures of dynamic connectedness based on time-varying parameter vector autoregressions[J]. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2020, 13(4): 84.[17]Diebold F X, Yilmaz K. Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers[J]. International Journal of forecasting, 2012, 28(1): 57-66.[18]Diebold F X, Yılmaz K. On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms[J]. Journal of econometrics, 2014, 182(1): 119-134.[19]Barun&amp;iacute;k J, Křehl&amp;iacute;k T. Measuring the frequency dynamics of financial connectedness and systemic risk[J]. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2018, 16(2): 271-296.[20] 李玉辉, 陈永刚, 闫碧芸, 等. 我国绿色债券市场的风险特征与风险溢出效应研究[J]. 西部金融, 2022, (11): 31-40.</p><pub-id pub-id-type="doi"/></element-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>
